ATIDI: Political Risk Analyst

Reference Number: SRCE05

Nature and Scope:

The Political Risk Analyst is responsible for assessing, monitoring, and mitigating political risks affecting trade and investment across Africa. The successful candidate will provide in-depth risk assessments related to transactions, sovereign and sub-sovereign risks, and geopolitical developments that could impact ATIDI’s insurance portfolio.

Key Duties and Responsibilities:

• Risk Assessment and Analysis:
  
  • Conduct comprehensive country and political risk assessments across ATIDI’s operational markets, analysing factors such as government stability, policy uncertainty, expropriation risks, political violence, regulatory risks dynamics, and sovereign creditworthiness and default risk.
  • Analyse transaction structures and assess transaction risks in structured finance, trade finance, project finance, and infrastructure investments, to identify political and credit risk exposures, ensuring proper risk mitigation and ensuring ATIDI’s risk exposure is well managed.
  • Evaluate sovereign credit risk, incorporating country risk ratings, debt sustainability analysis, and fiscal vulnerabilities.
  • Analyse investment contracts, loan agreements, sovereign and sub-sovereign guarantees, and debt instruments to assess creditworthiness, potential risk exposure and potential claim scenarios.
  • Develop and maintain country risk ratings, political risk models and early warning indicators, incorporating macroeconomic trends, fiscal stability, sectoral risks, financial stability metrics and governance risks.
  • Use quantitative and qualitative models to measure transaction and country-level risks, ensuring alignment with ATIDI’s risk appetite.

   

   

• Underwriting and Portfolio Risk Support:
  
  • Provide political risk intelligence to underwriting teams, supporting the assessment and structuring of ATIDI’s risk insurance products, including political risk insurance (PRI), trade credit insurance, and investment guarantees.
  • Assist in policy structuring, risk pricing, and coverage determination, ensuring transactions align with ATIDI’s risk appetite and exposure limits.
  • Monitor sovereign, sub-sovereign, and corporate borrower risk profiles, identifying emerging risks and recommending appropriate risk-mitigation strategies.
  • Contribute to stress testing, scenario analysis, and risk simulation models to quantify the impact of political and economic shocks on ATIDI’s portfolio.
  • Work with claims and legal teams to analyse potential or actual claims arising from political risk events (e.g., contract breaches, currency inconvertibility, expropriation, and sovereign defaults).
  • Support stress testing, scenario analysis, and contingency planning for potential claims events and systemic risks.

   

   

• Geopolitical & Economic Intelligence:
  
  • Track and interpret geopolitical trends, regulatory changes, trade policies, elections, and international economic developments affecting ATIDI’s insurance portfolio.
  • Maintain relationships with government agencies, rating agencies, risk intelligence providers, multilateral banks, and DFIs to enhance risk intelligence.
  • Provide periodic political and economic risk reports, dashboards, and briefings to senior leadership and underwriting teams.

   

   

• Stakeholder Engagement and Advisory:
  
  • Provide advisory support to underwriting, investments, and senior management on political and transaction risk implications.
  • Develop and maintain relationships with government representatives, risk intelligence providers, insurers, DFIs, and multilateral financial institutions.
  • Represent ATIDI in industry events, policy forums, and risk management conferences.

   

   

Role Specifications:

• Bachelor’s degree in Actuarial Science, Data Science, Financial Mathematics, or a related field.
• Minimum of four (4) years’ experience in actuarial analysis, risk modelling, data science, or a related field.
• Progress towards professional qualifications such as Actuarial (SOA, IFoA, ASSA), CFA, FRM, CQF, CERA, or equivalent risk/finance certifications is an added advantage.
• Progress towards a relevant Master's degree is an added advantage.
• Familiarity with data analytics tools.
• Understanding of risk assessment methodologies, stress testing, and portfolio management strategies.
• Knowledge of insurance portfolio risk analytics, including exposure monitoring and capacity utilisation.
• Strong analytical and problem-solving skills with attention to detail.
• Excellent communication skills (written and verbal) to influence stakeholders and convey complex data insights.
• Self-driven and resourceful, with a proactive approach to problem-solving.
• High level of professionalism.
• Exposure to a multi-cultural environment will be an added advantage.
• Ability to work effectively in a multicultural environment and cross-functional teams.
• Willingness to travel across African countries as and when required.
• Fluency in written and spoken English, knowledge of French will be an added advantage; and
• Demonstrate ATIDI's core values – unity of purpose, customer first approach, integrity, getting it first the right time and creativity.

Benefits and Contractual information:

• 3-year contract
• Willing and able to relocate to Nairobi, Kenya
• Only qualified candidates are encouraged to apply.

Closing Date: 12th of June 2025

Should you have any queries please contact: atidi-recruitment@caglobalint.com

Please visit www.caglobalint.com for more exciting opportunities.

CA Global Finance

CA Global will respond to short-listed candidates only. If you have not had any response in two weeks, please consider your application unsuccessful. However, your CV will be kept in our database for any other suitable positions.

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